Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 12.791720 14.416614 16.283877 18.615850 21.490167 24.972329 29.599345
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 10.761228 12.716245 15.138696 18.441059 22.962371 29.164476 38.779203
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.587231 11.697701 14.452863 18.455859 24.398267 33.430842 49.532242
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.829944 11.050586 14.074178 18.707779 26.091892 38.441488 63.811138
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 8.006973 10.192475 13.254507 18.125182 26.296799 40.997368 74.951253
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.491321 9.694449 12.868820 18.110420 27.385067 45.440999 93.271813
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.915999 9.050794 12.186420 17.501341 27.273083 47.458018 107.198540
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.343652 8.363600 11.368787 16.553453 26.340582 47.425546 115.261106
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.884593 7.811419 10.712158 15.799830 25.646940 47.745127 125.167439
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.030491 8.175604 11.526453 17.721065 30.739548 64.409935 229.481252
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.939763 8.164632 11.726303 18.551229 33.759421 77.611898 371.641760
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.589323 7.719184 11.157555 17.829059 33.009051 78.590766 427.911931
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.339498 7.436695 10.874034 17.697111 33.834867 86.214762 623.326520
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.104087 7.162955 10.584008 17.517835 34.523071 94.094442 956.560611
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.919211 6.959294 10.399047 17.529777 35.733649 105.413570 1794.771646
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.781459 6.824006 10.323572 17.762649 37.643445 122.353818 5397.113306
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.552221 6.521668 9.919705 17.223485 37.149551 126.461713 11487.010632
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.408848 6.357057 9.758589 17.209813 38.280648 141.807628 454925.294715
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.207762 6.083680 9.375561 16.645428 37.526907 144.480217 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.980834 5.756915 8.874935 15.765611 35.584398 137.461601 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.788566 5.483366 8.463223 15.064788 34.142613 133.485306 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 3.897765 5.736469 9.071743 16.849113 41.745542 217.540844 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.880932 5.766389 9.248499 17.617819 46.165156 297.625582 NaN